Originally Posted by kmarei
yes but polling doesn't mean you ask everyone
it means you ask enough people, that you have small snapshot of the population
my only remark is if polls were so incorrect, if we take the University of Colorado - Boulder prediction, why would news channels/newspapers spend millions doing them?
they are not 100% correct, but they are close to reality. especiallly if you average many polls.
a few mistakes here and there will be corrected by a a large enough sample, which you get when you average 5 or 6 polls for example
just like if i had asked you and your wife, i would have predicted a romney victory
but if i had asked you, your GF, and 20 other people, i might be closer to reality
True, it is just a sampling, which is exactly why it shouldn't be taken so seriously. I don't take any prediction or poll seriously, no matter what their streak or history is.
I have a feeling they don't really poll that many people, and the "sample" they take is very small indeed.
As far as who is going to win, only actual votes count, and we won't know the answer until tomorrow.